Sunday, September 07, 2008

McCain Up By 3-4%.

Gallup and Zogby both show leads in this range. This is interesting because despite the similar recent results, a week ago Gallup showing Obama up by 6-8% depending on a number of factors. Zogby (which is generally considered the least accurate of the major polls) had shown them as more or less even. This means Gallup is saying that McCain got a huge boost from his convention while Zogby is saying it was much more modest. Rasmussen which is generally thought to be the most accurate hasn't come out yet.

What does all this mean? Probably nothing, but it does suggest that the race is wide open...a far cry from the slam dunk for the Democrats that many expected. Also of interest is that when the full ticket is given (ie. McCain-Palin) as opposed to just the Presidential candidates the Republicans do about a full percentage point better in both polls. This suggests, at least for now, Sarah Palin is a net plus for the GOP (or alternatively that Biden is a drag on the Democratic numbers).