Monday, June 02, 2008

Poll: McCain Trusted More Than Obama on Economy, Iraq, National Security.

It is interesting to note that while McCain has the edge over Obama on these issues, Democrats are trusted more than Republicans on a generic basis. This ability of McCain to outperform the party label helps explain why he is competitive with the Democrats in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking poll.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

just a thought on the whole polling process... Polls are conducted by phone calls, house and cell phones, presumably. A huge demographic, (specifically young, computer and cell phone literate, registered voters who don't pick up unknown calls) is not being polled.
Another demographic, people like myself, who have to work 70 plus hours a week to get a paycheck equivalent to what we made 25 years ago. (ya know... Reaganomics?) Sorry Republicans, most of us won't vote for the party responsible for widening the gap between rich and poor. While you've been getting richer, we've been getting poorer, and working more hours. We're not picking up your phone calls; we're working. And those new voters,that know how to use their cell phones will almost exclusively vote Obama.

Mike Stajduhar said...

Hilarious. Where do I begin...polls though far from perfect, are the best metric we have for gauging public attitudes. Frequently they're wrong, sometimes wildly so. As a general rule however, the error bias in most poll numbers seems to be in OVERSTATING support for liberal politicians and polices. That doesn't mean pollsters are evil or stupid...it just means their models of the American electorate are imperfect...just like everything else in the world. Feel free to ask President John Kerry about this phenomenon if you have any doubts.

I'm always amused by leftists who assume that some previously untapped pool of voters will somehow change the hard calculus of politics in their favor. I believe this is called magical thinking. Every election cycle we're told that the youth vote or the women's vote, or the black vote is especially energized, that it will turn out in huge numbers and vote Democratic overwhelmingly.

Invariably, you guys wind up being disappointed. It's like Lucy holding the football for Charlie Brown...after a while you'd think they'd learn.

Even when turnout actually does spike (as it did in 2004) it seldom delivers what you hope. Substantial numbers of these new voters wind up voting the wrong way (from your perspective) thus offsetting most, if not all of your gains.

As to your personal situation (having to work 70 hours a week to make what you made in 1983): has it occurred to that you're probably not very good at your job?

Perhaps it's time for you to try something else. Surely someone like yourself can understand the importance of personal growth. All liberal economic policies can offer is making the rest of us like you.

All the best,

Mike Stajduhar